Thread: NFL 2011 Season Thread
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Old 11-02-2011, 07:54 PM   #2261
Droford
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DrA View Post
None of those games are sure picks. Especially the first one since it's hard for teams from the west coast to fly to the east coast and win. When people think they've "outsmarted Vegas" is probably where they make their most money. Undefeated teams usually get their first loss to teams like the Chargers, and winless teams usually get lucky against quasi hot teams like the Chiefs.
How west coast teams have fared against the spread over the years when playing on the East Coast at 1 p.m.:

2003: 1-8
2004: 8-5
2005: 6-6
2006: 2-6
2007: 6-11
2008: 7-9
2009: 2-2
2010: 1-5
2011: 5-2

the 49ers have 2 of the 5 wins at 1pm on the East Coast vs the Bengals and Eagles, I think they can handle the Redskins.

As far as the Packers go:

Packers are 31-16 ATS on the road under Mike McCarthy.
Aaron Rodgers is 28-14 ATS since 2009.
Mike McCarthy is 5-0 ATS coming off a bye.
Road favorites coming off a bye are 30-10 against the spread since 2002.
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