As far as the Chiefs go, I might be moved to not feel so great about them, but they're still playing the Dolphins who for all intents and purposes are tanking it.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2006 NFL season there have been 302 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2 to 4 points (the line is currently now KC -4) In these games:
The team like Kansas City (Favorite) won the game 162 times (53.6%)
The team like Miami (Underdog) won the game 140 times (46.4%)
The team like Miami (Underdog) did better against the spread, going 165-121-16 (57.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.9 points
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