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The deciding factor is going to be striking. Serra is very good on the ground and can pull submissions off almost like penn. Hughes is good on the ground too, but hes basically just a ground and pounder and either waits for his opponent to give then theyre back or losen up an arm and lock in an americana or key lock.
serra is too dangerous on the ground for hughes to do that. Plus one of hughes biggest goals in fighting is to win by a knockout and i think that serra has pissed him off enough that hughes will try and go for it.
People think that because of the GSP win, that serra's striking is phenominal. Well, maybe it is, but hes only showed it for one match, and most likely it was a fluke than not, and I see hughes thinking the same way.
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