I am guessing that Juliette is the one that is in the coffin. Ben seems to be too important to be dead (the whole thing with Sayid) and even though Juliette has family/friends off the island they have probably gone under the assumption she is dead after not hearing from her for so long. Or Juliette escaped, used an alias to hide from The Company, and thus the family didn't know to look for her obit. I don't think Jack would get that upset if it were Ben, and Kate was apathetic enough for it to be Juliette.
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