Dave's right - If Bret lost, it would be Bret Vs. Owen, if Lex lost, it's be Luger Vs. Crush.
I highly doubt it was legit. For one, they were building to Savage Vs. Crush (which obviously would have been for nothing had Crush wrestled Luger instead). Also, they were building to Bret Vs. Owen at that show. I doubt they would build things up and have it all possibly thrown into disarray by doing a legit coin toss.
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