[Champion of Europa]

Originally Posted by What Would Kevin Do? The popular buzz though is that the violence will cause the Oscar to pass him up.

I think the Oscars are more political than moral on that kind of thing. There are more political reasons for him to win than for him to lose.

I guessed all of the top acting and directing awards last year without having seen all the films. I just went through, examining what The Oscars had to gain and lose.

Like for Brokeback Mountain, I knew it wasn't good enough to win Best Picture, but they didn't want to appear homophobic, so they had to either give the movie Best Supporting Actor or Best Director. George Clooney got nominated for Best Director and Best Supporting, and there was no way he was getting out of there without a consolation prize, so they gave him Best Supporting Actor. Which freed up Best Director for Ang Lee.

It's all about politics, and The Oscars have more to lose by having Scorcese lose.