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Shit, forgot Notre Dame because they weren't in the BCS conference standings that I was looking at when making this list. In all honesty though, I think they belong in the second group.
As for Rutgers, and the same thing with Wake Forest, after the year's they have had, I can't imagine them falling off too hard. I know Wake has a good recruiting class coming in, not sure about Rutgers, but I would have to imagine. There is probably a good argument that both programs would fit under the third category though.
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