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Chris Jericho could really use a win, as it makes his return seem worth something. I don't think that will be what we see, though. I also doubt the WWE will give Mr. Kennedy his second win in the match. Kennedy winning would not be bad, but I still don't think they are that high on Kennedy after his suspension.
Shelton Benjamin is on a roll, but I can't see him winning over some of the other guys. It would not be too out of place, but I think Shelton is just there to be crazy and win some fans back.
The same goes for Carlito. In fact, I think Carlito is the only guy you can really rule out as winner so far. He's just in there to pad out the match with guys who can fly around and die for the crowd's entertainment.
CM Punk has a very good chance. He is over as a babyface, no matter how anyone tries to twist/ignore it, and he's a guy the WWE sees as a future star. He's the closest thing to Jeff Hardy that I think will end up in the match other than...
The other Hardy. Matt is medically cleared, and with MVP in the match, it makes sense that Matt Hardy gets added, as well. Him winning would be well-deserved, but much like Jericho, I just can't see it over the other guys in the match.
Out of the guys confirmed, I think MVP has the absolute best chance. The WWE is very high on him, and he's even successfully defended the United States Championship against Batista recently. Either he will be doing the same in a No Holds Barred Match on SmackDown!, or he will be dropping the belt, and be ready to step up. The MITB gimmick also seems to fit him perfectly.
My order of likely winners, in order from most likely to win to least likely to win, are: MVP, CM Punk, Chris Jericho, Matt Hardy, Shelton Benjamin, Carlito.
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