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Originally Posted by Hunter Heyman Hindu
Jeff got some big wins, but were any of those against main-eventers? (one-on-one....cleanly).
I don't watch Smackdown so I wouldn't know.
From what I know however, Jeff Hardy beat guys like Shelton Benjamin, MVP, Umaga (which he was doing on RAW anyways), and......Kozlov I think (not sure about that last one).
As far as Jeff/Matt goes, I would go with Jeff for the big win at Mania.
Some point later on in the year, Matt can beat Jeff by cheating somehow (i.e. heelish fashion).
At this point in their careers, Matt is getting over due to his association in a high profile feud. If Matt loses, it's not too big a deal. I think if Jeff lost however, it would be a serious step back. Jeff should get the win in my opinion.
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Jeff Hardy beat guys like Triple H and The Undertaker en route to winning the WWE Championship. He beat The Undertaker in an "Extreme Rules Match," and I think he went over Triple H when Vladimir Kozlov got involved, messing it up and giving Triple H an excuse. But Hardy has gone over Triple H cleanly in the past.
I wish I could answer the "who goes over at Mania" question objectively, because I am a Matt mark. I can see why people would go with Jeff, and that would be my gut reaction, but to be honest, the more I think about it, the more I think a heel win for "The Black Cloud" would do him some good.
As you said, Matt Hardy is up there by association, whereas Jeff Hardy is the more established of the two right now. If Matt loses, he looks like a clown, whereas Jeff will always have his "former WWE Champion" status to fall back on. I think of it like Chris Jericho vs. Christian at WrestleMania XX. They were partners, but they split, and they went with the wormy heel stealing the win, to help move him up the roster, because they knew the solidified face would be fine.
I'd give the nudge to Matt Hardy with some evil tactics.