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Yeah, I think I'm with you on this one. If Lesnar doesn't bust out some crazy good striking and finish it quickly, he'll have to ground and pound him, and we all remember how that went last time.
The only things I can't be sure about are Mir's stand up and Lesnar's submission defence. Mir's stand up is vastly improved, but he's overestimating himself if he thinks punching out a deathly ill Nogueira is something to be proud of. On top of that, Lesnar gets better all the time. Guy's a freak the way he soaks stuff up. I highly doubt he's going to be a slippery eel on the ground, but I don't think it'll be as easy for Mir to trap a limb like last time.
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