Thread: Do the Red Sox still do the Beckett trade if they know what Hanley Ramirez would be?
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Old 07-25-2009, 11:30 AM   #6
Jeritron
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That situation is not to different from the Halladay scenario. What matters more, a world series this year, or a world series 5 years from now?

How good will a prospect be? What if he's an MVP, what if he's a bust? What if things change with the existing team through injury and free agency, and we have the chance to get someone of his caliber through signing anyways?
At some point you can't call the future. In a way, it's foolish to horde prospects when you have no clue how they will factor in 5 years down the line. A lot can change.

Sometimes a prospects only worth their hype. They can either gain value or lose value based on how they actually play. Being able to trade a guy based on predictions for someone of proven value is great, especially if they don't work out for the other team.

I think that's the big question with Bucholz. Do you risk dealing away a potential Cy Young caliber pitcher, or do you pull the trigger and get great value out of a guy who ends up never amounting to anything?
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