Maia is basically Thailes Leites, only he knows how to pull guard. He has one of the best submission games at MW. And, if the Chael Sonnen (overrated, I know, but still) fight was any indication, he can go upstairs for a takedown if need be.
Anderson Silva is very good, but he has weaknesses against good Jiu Jitsu guys. If Lutter had a gas tank, he could have pulled out an upset. The hard part is getting to the ground. Or hell, being conscious by the time you can get close enough to get in takedown position.
I think the fight with Marquardt will open a few eyes. Either Marquardt will prove that he's taken his talent to the next level, or Maia will prove he's for real. I just can't go against Maia, though.
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