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It's inevitable we'll get shovelware at first. No one will put time and money into something unless they know it sells. Once Natal has been out a while, we should get the gems you are going to look for.
With 14 games in development, at least a few will be decent or better. Fable III will likely incorporate it in some way and I'm sure they'll have a Natal-Halo planned. I'm not interested in Halo but others are. I'm thinking we'll get at least one racing game, a Wii Sports-esque game and something to demo the voice recognition (wait, that's Milo).
As long as it doesn't get over crowded with Yoga games and stuff, Natal could be a worth while upgrade.
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