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CM Punk seems like the one with the most tension towards Christian right now. It would be logical to have him win the ECW Homecoming, and then go on to face Christian at the Royal Rumble. Punk could win the title, and then destroy it, claiming that ECW represents a culture of addiction, and he wants to destroy it once and for all. It'd be a massive heel rub for him to be the man who destroys the "ECW Title" as we know it.
Looking at the guys in the Battle Royal, I don't think a guy from ECW's current roster will win it. Shelton Benjamin and Yoshi Tatsu have had their shots. Vance Archer is still pretty new to the WWE, and while the WWE shows little regard for the ECW Title, I can't see them putting him over Christian just yet. He'd have the best chance out of the ECW guys, though, in my opinion.
So that leaves Kane, Matt Hardy, Evan Bourne or CM Punk. Of those guys, I think Kane has got the least chance of winning. He's been in the Royal Rumble for like the past decade or something; I don't see that changing. He's also got a program with Dolph Ziggler going on. Plus, he's technically a face, and while Hardy & Bourne are also faces; they are more comparable to Christian. It's harder to have a "buddy-buddy feud" with the monster, Kane. I see Kane either eliminating Vance Archer, or being eliminated by him.
Evan Bourne could win, as he and Christian would have a fun match. It'd be a great way to showcase Bourne, which is something I've felt like the WWE have really wanted to do. They moved him to RAW, and they let him hit the Shooting Star Press on Sheamus just to show the move off. But, I dunno, he seems like the weakest choice out of the three guys left. Matt Hardy could win. He's got so little left to do on SmackDown!, and a feud with Christian would be...interesting. And CM Punk has already been discussed.
Smart money is on CM Punk, but I'd personally like to see Matt Hardy win it. Punk could be awesome as a slimy heel in the Rumble.
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