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I would think if he was close in votes then either the writers do not really care about steroid in baseball or they come to realize it would be impossible to just ignore a good 15-20+ years of players just because MLB was relaxed on drug testing (and Players Association).
I doubt he will get any closer in next few years since current mindset of most writers is that "juice = no chance" even though the Hall already contains cheaters, racists, and other less prestigious players.
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