Thread: NFL 2010 Season Thread
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Old 10-03-2010, 12:47 PM   #763
Droford
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kris P Lettus View Post
Panthers +20.5

lol
har har

The Trends. Edge: Panthers.
History: Road team has won 9 of the last 13 meetings.
Double-digit favorites coming off a loss are 33-59 ATS since 2002.
Panthers are 34-25 ATS as an underdog the previous 59 instances.
John Fox is 4-1 ATS as a divisional underdog of 7+.
Saints are 28-44 ATS at home since 2001 (11-9 since 2008).
Saints are 21-34 ATS as a home favorite since 2001.
Saints are 2-7 ATS as double-digit favorites under Sean Payton.

This is keeping in mind that the original line is Saints -14.5, I bumped it up 6 points to Panthers +20.5

This was also why I took the Lions +20.5

The Trends. Edge: Lions.
History: Packers have won 17 of the last 19 meetings.
Double-digit favorites coming off a loss are 33-59 ATS since 2002.
Favorites of 12.5 or more are 7-26 ATS since 1989 when coming off a loss as a road favorite.
Lions are 13-9 ATS as a double-digit underdog since 2006 (3-8 in 2009).
Jim Schwartz is 0-5 ATS as a divisional underdog of 7+.
Packers are 22-10 ATS after Monday Night Football in the previous 32 instances.
Mike McCarthy is 0-3 ATS after losing on Monday Night Football.
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