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Old 10-06-2011, 03:27 PM   #1074
Droford
 
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My Betting Picks Week 5 (Last Week 12-4 ATS, Season 26-34-4 ATS, 1-2 Locks)

Titans +3.5 @ Steelers [Titans are suddenly a playoff contender and the Steelers are looking like a MASH unit. Gimped up Roethlisberger, battered offensive line, potentially no Mendenhall, Harrison out..I think this is the Titans personal litmus test for themselves and they'll pass it with a win.]
Chiefs +2 @ Colts [Colts off the short week loss and disapointment, Chiefs off their first win and excitement. Take the momentum, energy and the points]
Cardinals +2.5 @ Vikings [Similar to Chiefs/Vikings though the Cardinals arent coming off a win]
Bengals +2.5 @ Jaguars [Similar to the first two again, and for what its worth I like the Cincy defense at least..]
Bills +2.5 vs Eagles [I dont understand how an imploding Eagles team is a favorite on the road vs a team that was close to being 4-0, even if it was vs the Bengals. I see this as a similar situation to the game after the Ravens lost to the Titans, they will come back refocused and ready to throttle the Eagles who are in a complete tailspin.]
Raiders +5.5 @ Texans [Texans are on a roll but one vulnerability they have is rush defense, they've given up yards to some suspect players and McFadden is the best RB they will have faced...plus no Andre Johnson for the Texans..EDIT Also a win for Al Davis..]
Panthers +6.5 vs Saints [I don't see the Panthers winning, but once again I think Cam Newton can keep the Panthers in the game just enough to not lose by a TD, especially since I wasn't impressed with the Saints defense last week in what should have been an easy game.]
Giants -9.5 vs Seahawks [Lot of points to give up but the Giants are at home and its the Seahawks..Don't know what else to say.]
Buccaneers +2.5 @ 49ers [People are probably going to be on the 49ers after their upset win in Philly but I think that the Buccaneers are a better team overall, though a win on the west coast will be tough for Tampa (6 wins in 32 west coast games all time)
Patriots -9 vs Jets [The Jets seem to be imploding just like the Eagles and I think the last team the Jets wanted to see this weekend was the Patriots...lot of points but Im pretty sure Tom Brady's good for em]
Broncos +4 vs Chargers [The Chargers usually start off slow, this year they've been able to win while doing it but its been an illusion..smoke and mirrors (OOOOOOH) anyway..No one wants to bet on the Broncos after they were throttled by the Packers, but I say they'll show up and give the Chargers a fight in a divisional game at home]
Falcons +6 vs Packers [People are gonna call me crazy. How can you bet against the Packers?? Matt Ryan is 16-6 ATS at home in his career. The Packers secondary isn't solid and I think Ryan can easily go toe to toe with Rodgers since he has just as many weapons to throw to. The Falcons also kind of need this game big time or else they risk being in trouble given how the Saints and Bucs are playing. I'm also pretty crazy to say the Falcons will win outright.. Im probably just plain insane to make this my Lock of the Week (1-2)]
Bears +5 @ Lions [The Lions have won 12 games in a row (4 last year, 4 preseason, 4 this year), the world must be upside down! I watched their comeback last week and was amazed at how they did it. But the wheels have to come off the cart at some point, and I think the Bears, who need a win to stay in playoff contention already, would like nothing more than to end the Lions dream season in Detroit in front of a national tv audience..and they'll do it by running the football with Forte and special teams.]

5-7-1 ATS

Last edited by Droford; 10-15-2011 at 09:53 PM.
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