Thread: The Indianapolis Colts will beat the New england Patriots this week
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Old 11-29-2011, 07:51 PM   #8
Droford
 
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Im leaning on taking the Colts to cover the +21.5 spread since favorites of 20+ points are 2-7 all time ATS. The 49ers had the highest line ever of -23.5 vs the Bengals back in 1993 I think and they only won 21-8. It could be a scenario where the Patriots get up big early, and start plugging in some of their lesser players while the Colts peck away at their bad defense and manage to score points in garbage time for a backdoor cover. The bets are coming in on the Patriots heavy (Its like 80%) so a Colts cover would be huge for Vegas, which has been having a bad year so far.
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