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If Cabrera actually gets the Triple Crown, it should be enough to win the MVP award. He'd have the benefit of breaking the streak and the prestige from the Crown along with the voters favoring players from playoff teams ever since the ridicule of A-Rod winning on a last place Rangers team.
Stats-wise both are very close to each other but Cabrera has the edge in the big 3 stats which are used for the Triple Crown.
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