Thread: NFL 2012 Season Thread
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Old 11-24-2012, 01:50 AM   #3802
DrA
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Vito Cruz View Post
Pretty much this. While coaches and GMs realistically know not everybody will pan out (numbers game, etc.) - teams don't pick guys if they don't think there's a chance of them being a real difference maker. Plenty of talent buried in the lower rounds of the draft, even the undrafted free agent pool for that matter.

Now personally, I wouldn't hesitate to take a surefire Pro Bowler for a 4th rounder...but some teams just have a ton of faith in their scouting department.
That's not quite what I'm talking about. I'm not saying that the draft is overvalued, rather that draft picks relative to using them in trades is, particularly after around the second or third round. Obviously the consistently good teams are developed in the draft, and I'm not downplaying that there is talent available in the later rounds, but it's about quality over quantity. A lot of these teams believe that if they stack up on picks they're more likely to hit it big in the draft, but it rarely seems to work out that way and they just wind up with more deadbeats. Beyond the top picks I don't know if there's that significant of a parallel between the overall quality of talent a team takes in the draft and how many picks they have or where in the round they draft. Maybe there's a website that has that sort of information.

I think if a big name player gets traded for a low pick a lot of the time it has something to do with that player's contract or he's a pain in the ass and they just want to get rid of him somehow. With regards to individual draft picks, however, the odds are more likely than not that the player will be out of the league in a couple of years, and the potential of drafting a Trent Cole or Leon Washington type of player in a later round is overstated.

I'm certainly not advocating teams like Dallas that give up all of their draft picks to get Roy Williams and Joey Galloway, but it seems like teams now are so afraid of making a 'Herschel Walker trade' that they've taken to the other end of that extreme.
Last edited by DrA; 11-24-2012 at 04:10 AM.
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