Quote:
Originally Posted by Droford
I've given up trying to proven Gallardo > Chen
All other things equal Gallardo ground ball pitcher in home run ballpark with a team that shifts a ton and plays good defense is a Huge improvement over Chen who was a fly ball pitcher that gave up twice as many Home runs last year. The fact Gallardo had success in a home run park with thev3rd worst defense in baseball last year indicates to me he will have a good year and one much better than Chen could have had all for 1/2 of what Chen got from Miami.
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Because what you're trying to prove isn't true. The only thing you can and have cited is homeruns allowed.
From a run prevention standpoint, you know, the primary job asked of a starting pitcher, Chen was better. 3.67 runs allowed per 9 innings to Gallardo's 3.71. Granted it's minuscule, but they peg them as even at best, not Gallardo>Chen. Their career numbers are in line as well. 4 runs per 9 for Chen to 3.98 for Gallardo. So where's the part that Gallardo is an upgrade? Regardless of his groundball rate, he's still giving up runs at a similar clip.
Innings pitched are similar too. WAR likes them all the same. Etc, etc, etc. There's nothing other than groundballs and money that you've cited to lead anyone but into Gallardo as more than a lateral move.