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He never won without Kobe, and Kobe never won without Shaq, there are no guarantees that either of them win independently. Even with Shaq the Heat won't be able to beat the Pistons or the Pacers and if they did they would have no shot against the Spurs or Wolves. If Shaq was five years younger the Heat would be really good in a few years, but by the time Wade is on a level to compete for a championship Shaq will either be retired or playing a David Robinson role. Kobe isn't going to win a championship in the next three of four years by himself either, but he has over ten years left, giving him a huge advantage.
Like I said before, they didn't have to give up Shaq, but they made bad decisions and publicly said things they shouldn't have, and Shaq went over the edge. The Lakers owner is the one to blame that his franchise is in a huge rut now and that Miami's in rejuvenated, but in the situation where you choose one of the other you obviously take the younger guy who draws comparisons to Michael Jordan and who, according to Shaq himself, has the potential to be the best basketball player ever.
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