Dillon is the huge key, the Pats need 8-10min drives and keep the colts off the field.
Also, the weather will be a factor, right now it calls for Cloudy and come game time temp should be in the high teens. Which really isn't that bad.
If it's colder or snows or rains, that all favors the pats, a bad field slows down the Colts, who clearly play better in a dome. The ground hurts more when it's cold, it's harder to catch when it's cold, etc... etc...
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