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I think it'd be silly for anybody to think the Pats wouldn't have won that game without deflating the footballs. That being said if they're able to conclusively determine that they did it, I hope they get punished worse than SpyGate. It doesn't matter if the violation is far less severe, the fact is they've been caught cheating before and now may be cheating again.
They lost a first round pick for SpyGate, so I'd probably start with banning them from participating in the first two days of the draft, meaning they don't pick until round 4. Harsh? Yes. But if these cheating allegations wind up being true it's pretty clear the leadership in that organization is encouraging it.
The NFL would never do it though. The Patriots would simply appeal and probably win or get the sanctions lessened.
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