Lesnar VS Carwin

[BillyBonez]

Originally Posted by The Show Off Carwin is a good fighter, a damn good fighter in fact. He's the number one contender for a very good reason, I'm not trying to take anything away from Shane Carwin's abilities as a fighter. All I'm saying is that just as Lesnar has never dealt with anyone like Carwin, Carwin has never dealt with anyone like Lesnar. Believe me I know Carwin won his fight faster that Lesnar won when they faught Mir. You have to realize something important though against both Lesnar and Carwin Mir had a terrible game plan. Carwin was able to take Mir out faster beacuse Mir's game plan against Carwin was more condusive to a knockout. Against Carwin Mir wanted to stand and knock him out (based on the hubris of knocking Kongo cold) but against Lesnar all Mir talked about was breaking Lesnar's arm, so his game plan was to submit Lesnar on the ground. It's easier to knock Mir out on his feet then it is from inside his guard. But with all respect to Carwin, Carwin does had the better punching power so that's probably the biggest reason he got the KO quicker. Carwin is a more diverse fighter than Lesnar but don't make too much about Carwin's stand up it's stiff and measured just like Lesnar's. The reason he gets the edge there is because of the marginal skill advantage and the power advantage. What I keep thinking of was how easily Gonzaga was able to get the fight to the ground against Carwin. Carwin was able to get back up in short order but if Lesnar puts Carwin on the deck (and based on the ease Gonzaga did it I think he will) I don't know if he could get back to his feet without taking damage. And if Carwin is on the ground I seriously doubt he's so good off his back that he can submit Lesnar. The real x-factor is cardio. Lesnar looked fine after going 3 round with Heath Herring but how much did his near fatal illness take out of him? Know one knows. As for Carwin he's never needed a second round so who knows how his cardio will hold up or even how his psyche will hold up going to a second round? Sure he works with a good camp for cardio but theirs a diffrence between cardio in the gym and cardio in the cage. If I had to guess Carwin probably has the cardio advantage just because of Lesnars illness. It'll be a good fight. I'm picking Lesnar to win but I wouldn't be shocked at all if Carwin knocked him out. Everyone's reasons for picking Carwin make total sense, I just see it going a different way. If Lesnar loses I'll be the first to admit I was wrong.

Exactly this what I meant!!!